Daily Technical Analysis – 07.07.2010
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EURUSD Outlook
The EURUSD continued its bullish momentum yesterday, topped at 1.2661 and closed at 1.2624. This fact opens the door for further upside scenario testing 1.2900 this week but we have bearish potential indicated by CCI divergence as you can see on my h4 chart below so things could be tricky at this phase. Immediate support at 1.2550 region. Break below that area could trigger further bearish pullback towards 1.2465 area but overall we are still in upside correction phase. On the upside, we need a clear break above 1.2670 region to continue the bullish scenario.

GBPUSD Outlook
The GBPUSD was technically a mess yesterday. Price slipped above the trendline resistance, topped at 1.5226 but closed significantly lower at 1.5148 and now struggling around the trendline resistance. The bias is neutral in nearest term. My wait and see mode is activated now, but as long as price move above the 1.5000 area the upside scenario should remain strong. On the other hand, break below 1.5000 could be a serious threat to the upside correction scenario at least testing 1.4900 area. On the upside, we still need a consistent move above 1.5200 area to continue the bullish scenario testing 1.5400 – 1.5500

USDJPY Outlook
The USDJPY was technically a mess yesterday. Price slipped above the descending triangle but failed to continue bullish momentum and now back inside the triangle. This fact should keep the bearish scenario intact especially if price break below the triangle, confirms the bearish continuation testing 85.86 area. On the upside, immediate resistance remains at 88.23. Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum testing 89.00 region.

USDCHF Outlook
The USDCHF continued its bearish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.0561 but rebounded to the upside, traded around 1.0620 at the time I wrote this comment earlier today in Asian session. The bias is neutral in nearest term but still within a strong major bearish scenario. On h4 chart below we have a descending triangle indicating potential bearish continuation especially if price able to break below the triangle testing 1.0500 before targeting 1.0220 in longer term view. On the other hand, violation to the upside of the triangle could trigger further upside recovery testing 1.0750 area.

EURJPY Outlook
The EURJPY attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 109.14 but whipsawed to the upside, topped at 110.84 and closed at 110.48. On daily chart below we can see that price slipped above the falling wedge formation indicating potential bullish reversal scenario at least testing 111.70 area. On the downside, another movement back below the falling wedge formation could lead us into neutral zone. Immediate support at 109.90 followed by 109.14 (yesterday’s low).

GBPJPY Outlook
The GBPJPY was volatile but indecisive yesterday. On daily chart below we can see price still moving inside the triangle. The bias is neutral in nearest term but CCI about to cross the -100 line down on daily chart suggesting more downside probability especially if price break below the triangle, testing 130.50 area. Immediate resistance at 134.40. Break above that area could trigger further bullish scenario towards 136.00 before testing 138.00 area.

AUDUSD Outlook
The AUDUSD had a strong bullish momentum yesterday, but still unable to move consistently above 0.8550 resistance area. The bias is bullish in nearest term but we need consistent move above 0.8550 to continue the bullish pressure testing 0.8650 and the minor trendline resistance area (red). Immediate support at 0.8430/50 region. Break below that area could trigger further downside pressure re-testing 0.8316.

About the Author
The information has been prepared for information purposes only. The document is not intended as personalized investment advice and does not constitute a recommendation to buy, sell or hold investments described herein. This information contained herein is derived from sources we believe to be reliable, but of which we have not independently verified. FXInstructor LLC assumes no responsibilities for errors, inaccuracies or omissions in these materials, nor shall it be liable for damages arising out of any person’s reliance upon this information. FXInstructor LLC does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these materials. FXInstructor LLC shall not be liable for any indirect, incidental, or consequential damages including without limitation losses, lost revenues or lost profits that may result from these materials. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results


